Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.264535 0.308157 0.356392 0.413636 0.479679 0.553439 0.642030
2025-04-13 0.184349 0.240337 0.309104 0.399575 0.515264 0.658033 0.847397
2025-04-20 0.147497 0.208492 0.289259 0.403596 0.560818 0.768903 1.064664
2025-04-27 0.128699 0.194289 0.286594 0.425221 0.627283 0.910072 1.334726
2025-05-04 0.112491 0.179870 0.279863 0.437942 0.680263 1.036087 1.596210
2025-05-11 0.097977 0.165036 0.269439 0.442293 0.719503 1.144407 1.841946
2025-05-18 0.085049 0.150322 0.256536 0.440018 0.746700 1.235556 2.069346
2025-05-25 0.073826 0.136511 0.242820 0.433889 0.765777 1.314373 2.283714
2025-06-01 0.065025 0.125448 0.231972 0.430655 0.788375 1.399972 2.516641
2025-06-08 0.056006 0.112575 0.216110 0.416235 0.789177 1.447748 2.688440
2025-06-15 0.053799 0.112163 0.222592 0.442898 0.866135 1.635116 3.124268
2025-06-22 0.046892 0.101517 0.208473 0.428897 0.865780 1.683017 3.310745
2025-06-29 0.040670 0.091493 0.194530 0.413994 0.862918 1.727733 3.499703
2025-07-06 0.035434 0.082788 0.182132 0.400684 0.861762 1.775843 3.701142
2025-07-13 0.032463 0.078567 0.178412 0.404754 0.896101 1.896326 4.057298
2025-07-20 0.031258 0.078151 0.182731 0.426441 0.969551 2.102308 4.607188
2025-07-27 0.029445 0.076038 0.183012 0.439197 1.025083 2.276615 5.108151
2025-08-03 0.027220 0.072586 0.179789 0.443560 1.062424 2.415931 5.547908
2025-08-10 0.024811 0.068303 0.174050 0.441278 1.084260 2.523488 5.928269
2025-08-17 0.022440 0.063752 0.167072 0.435132 1.096316 2.610369 6.270677
2025-08-24 0.020484 0.060001 0.161571 0.431890 1.114810 2.713333 6.659349
2025-08-31 0.018179 0.054940 0.152090 0.417430 1.104266 2.748085 6.892472
2025-09-07 0.018009 0.055870 0.158292 0.444167 1.199347 3.040566 7.765006